
When there is a banking crisis under a peg, the monetary authority may be tempted to
bail out the banks. Why is this risky?
Banks are the least important entity in the financial sector, and attention should be
paid to manufacturing, which is more important.
Banks are critical to the success of the economy, and when they are in bad shape, it
is best to allow the weaker banks to fail and support the stronger ones.
The central bank would have to sell reserves to maintain the peg, and they could
fall to an unsafe level.
The monetary authority would be forced to buy reserves in exchange for domestic
currency—so there would be plenty of money in circulation.
In emerging markets, a banking crisis threatens the peg when a bailout occurs because:
the central bank will act too cautiously.
the central bank will bail out other financial firms as well.
the central bank cannot then lend to other solvent banks.
fear of unsafe banks might encourage depositors to convert funds into foreign
currency deposits offshore.
Argentina's experience in defending its peg after 1994 resulted in all of the following,
EXCEPT:
an increase in the nominal rate of interest as the risk premium rose because of the
Tequila Crisis.
a bailout of domestic banks damaged by excessive defaults.
domestic investors selling pesos and purchasing assets denominated in U.S. dollars.
a significant decrease in the nominal rate of interest as the risk premium rose.
How did the IMF step in to help Argentina in 1994?
The IMF required it to immediately let its currency float.
The IMF required it to repay all past-due loans as a condition for new lending.
The IMF extended emergency loans to help it restore its backing ratio.
The IMF required it to immediately let its currency float and to repay all past-due
loans as a condition for new lending.
How did the Tequila Crisis eventually turn out?
Argentina defaulted in May 1997, and its economy has not recovered.
Argentina's central bank reduced its holding of domestic credit to zero and
achieved a 100% backing ratio.
Argentina allowed its currency to float.
Argentina increased exports enough so that no lending was needed.